America 2025 — crime trends, inflation updates, and healthcare costs under President Trump: are Americans safer and better off?Ryan cuts through the headlines and reads the receipts: eight months after the 2024 handoff, what’s actually changed for Americans? This episode breaks the numbers down — crime trends, CPI and grocery pain, medical inflation, job and manufacturing signals, and the media narrative that won’t admit progress.
You’ll get:
Data-backed analysis on violent crime and city-level trends.
Inflation update: headline CPI, core inflation, and what you feel at checkout.
Healthcare breakdown: why medical costs still bite and which reforms could help.
Trade, tariffs, and reshoring: how deals and policy moves are attracting investment.
Media spin & political narrative: why progress gets ignored and what that costs the country.
Listen on Spotify, then drop a 5★ review if this episode landed. Your reviews help the algorithm surface the show to more people who want facts, not noise.
00:00:00
Is your life better under Trump than it was under Biden?
00:00:04
The numbers do not lie. Major crime categories are
00:00:09
falling. Mid year 2025 city reporting
00:00:12
shows homicides down 17% compared to the same stretch in
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2024. Robberies, motor vehicles,
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thefts, aggravated assaults all down, many of them double
00:00:25
digits. The people pretending it's not
00:00:28
happening under Trump or only proving one thing that they hate
00:00:32
a man more than they love results.
00:00:42
Welcome to stay in the Fray podcast.
00:00:44
I'm your host Ryan. This is where headlines get hit
00:00:47
hard. Hypocracy gets shredded and the
00:00:50
absurd are laughed at. If you want comfort, this isn't
00:00:53
your place. If you want blunt and
00:00:55
unfiltered, I'm your guy. Join me in the fray all you
00:00:58
need. To do is just listen up.
00:01:03
Welcome back. I need to settle something.
00:01:06
I need to get into this. It just needs to be said.
00:01:08
It's it's something that I hear the same doom chorus from the
00:01:12
press, from Trump's opposition, from all the left.
00:01:16
They scream chaos and use words like fascism, all the other
00:01:21
words that they like to use falsely as well when describing
00:01:25
the current administration and its supporters.
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But the numbers of how we're doing under that administration
00:01:32
are quietly disagreeing with you.
00:01:34
Why are they unable or unwilling to see it?
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I'm going to ask you all a simple question.
00:01:41
Is your life better under Trump than it was under Biden?
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Allow me to help you here on this episode.
00:01:48
Prime is down, inflation is cooling.
00:01:51
People are living a little easier for sure.
00:01:54
Stick with me here on this show. Check this out.
00:01:59
I'll break it down. Got the receipts?
00:02:02
It's relatively quick if you're willing to listen.
00:02:05
This is Stay in the Fray podcast.
00:02:07
It is September the 24th, 2025. Let's roll.
00:02:12
And we're not talking about some distant ten year trend.
00:02:16
What I mean is right now from this time last year under Joe
00:02:20
Biden in his last gasp of of his presidency to the nine month
00:02:25
mark, 8 month mark under Trump, the numbers do not lie.
00:02:29
Major crime categories are falling.
00:02:32
Mid year 2025 city reporting shows homicides down 17%
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compared to the same stretch in 2024.
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Robberies, motor vehicles, thefts, aggravated assaults all
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down, many of them double digits.
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That's real. It's measurable change and it
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matters. OK, here's the politics
00:02:56
Democrats would rather shout than fix.
00:03:00
Some blue cities still have real problems, not denying that.
00:03:03
But tougher borders, federal pressure, and a harder stance on
00:03:08
violent crimes are pushing the numbers down everywhere else.
00:03:12
To admit that, though, is to admit Trump's score to win.
00:03:18
So they ignore progress, and they keep the outrage machine
00:03:21
humming. Pride over results every time.
00:03:26
We'll take DC talked about it before, but I will talk about it
00:03:29
again. Let's use it as a case study.
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Do most people even know what the National Guard has actually
00:03:35
been doing there, or do you just jump on the militarization line
00:03:41
that you're fed? Those guardsmen and women have
00:03:43
been detaining suspects until police arrive, crime scenes,
00:03:48
making sure that the police departments have assistance.
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They help track down missing kids.
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They carry groceries for residents.
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They even handle neighborhood disputes.
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That's not a military occupation.
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That's help. And if you're more worried about
00:04:03
a soldier nearby than you are about another teenager bleeding
00:04:07
out on the street, your priorities are upside down.
00:04:10
Let's be honest, not every city is rosy.
00:04:13
Like I mentioned, a handful saw homicide up ticks mid year.
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But if you look closer for the same deep blue cities with
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mayors who would rather posture than cooperate with the
00:04:25
president that they hate, local leadership failure is the
00:04:28
problem. The media will not say that its
00:04:31
own. The Democrat people won't say
00:04:34
that it's easier to scream Trump's America is unsafe than
00:04:39
admit their own side is asleep at the wheel.
00:04:41
Here is the big picture. National Crime is trending down
00:04:46
from the pandemic spike and even more so now under Donald Trump's
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administration. Enforcement, community support,
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and smarter policing are working.
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The people pretending it's not happening under Trump or only
00:05:00
proving one thing, that they hate a man more than they love
00:05:05
results. That's sad for this country and
00:05:08
dangerous, but the communities left behind.
00:05:11
All right, let's talk money because at the end of the day,
00:05:13
crime stats matter, but nothing hits harder to most than the
00:05:18
price of gas and eggs. It's just how people judge if
00:05:23
life feels better or worse, right?
00:05:25
That was quite the focal point before the election and into the
00:05:28
beginning of transition of power.
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I'm not here to pretend that Trump waved a magic wand and
00:05:34
suddenly everything's perfect. But let's be serious.
00:05:37
The idea that things are worse now than under Biden, with this
00:05:42
the economy, with food and gas, inflation last year was running
00:05:48
hot, way above normal, crushing household budgets.
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Under Biden, we watched costs spiral.
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Food inflation, housing inflation, energy spikes.
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By this same point in 2024, inflation was still chewing
00:06:03
people alive. Headline inflation was at 3.7%,
00:06:07
core inflation around 4.3%. Now headline inflation 2.9%,
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core inflation 3.1%. That's not at some skyrocketing
00:06:17
inflation that everybody's trying to pin on Trump.
00:06:20
It's actually stabilization. Gas prices are down.
00:06:23
The national average is lower this time than last year.
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Egg prices are down as well. Let's not forget the reason
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there was a spike is because there was a bird flu that wiped
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out 50 million fucking chickens late last year.
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I think that may have stunted egg production.
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Of course the egg prices were high when that happened.
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It wasn't Trump's fault, unless you think he personally spread
00:06:50
the flu on the hens. As soon as I said that, I
00:06:52
realized that some of you actually might try to say that
00:06:56
now. Yes, groceries overall are up
00:07:00
about 2.9% year over year. I'm not here to give you
00:07:04
misinformation. I admit that they are up, but
00:07:07
compare that to the 8 to 10% spikes we saw under Biden.
00:07:11
At that point, you realize that we're in stability, not a
00:07:14
collapse of the middle class. Does it sting a little at the
00:07:16
checkout line? Of course.
00:07:18
But is it worse than Biden's food inflation circus?
00:07:21
Absolutely not. And in places where prices are
00:07:24
still spiking, California. New York, it's not federal
00:07:29
policy doing that. That's local leadership layering
00:07:32
taxes, energy restrictions and costs on top of the national
00:07:37
trends. We cannot forget the tariffs in
00:07:40
this conversation. self-proclaimed experts all over
00:07:43
social media scream that tariffs would destroy us.
00:07:47
He's ruining every relationship we've ever had with anybody in
00:07:50
the world. Now they refuse to admit that
00:07:53
those tariffs are driving investment back into America
00:07:57
like we haven't seen in a long time.
00:08:00
Trump's trade deals and tariffs aren't about cheap imports,
00:08:04
they're about leverage, pushing production back home,
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negotiating fairer deals, which is a big one, and you get
00:08:12
steadier prices long term with more American jobs.
00:08:16
Companies are already reassuring and investing here because of
00:08:20
it. Don't forget DOGE in all of this
00:08:24
either. The effort to cut down frivolous
00:08:26
government spending. Imagine that.
00:08:29
Funny how trimming the fat doesn't wreck the economy after
00:08:32
all. Who would have thought?
00:08:33
The bottom line, are we done? No, it takes time for policies
00:08:39
to fully work through an economy, but we're on a path
00:08:42
towards towards stability. That's just numbers and facts to
00:08:45
claim life is worse financially today than it was a year ago.
00:08:49
That's either ignorance or spin. Either way it's nonsense.
00:08:53
Here's the tough one, Healthcare.
00:08:55
Healthcare is always the iceberg under the surface.
00:08:58
Even when inflation cools, your grocery bills shrink, their gas
00:09:02
prices dip, medical costs seem to keep climbing.
00:09:06
That's the part that families feel.
00:09:08
Let's be honest, this is not Trump's biggest win yet.
00:09:13
I can admit these things, and the man is not infallible.
00:09:16
But he's also very busy. In July 2025, healthcare
00:09:20
inflation was still running about 4.3% year over year.
00:09:24
That means doctor visits, insurance premiums, deductibles,
00:09:27
drugs, all of that still eating into your wallet.
00:09:30
So no, he hasn't solved this. But is it worse than Biden?
00:09:34
Absolutely not. Under Biden, healthcare
00:09:36
inflation regularly outpaced wage growth.
00:09:38
Out of pocket costs ballooned, deductibles kept rising.
00:09:42
And while his team bragged about ACA subsidies, the reality was
00:09:47
simple. Middle class families kept
00:09:49
paying more or less. That was the Biden record, and
00:09:53
it's drenched in facts. Trump, at least he's trying to
00:09:57
address the underlying costs. You don't hear about these
00:09:59
efforts much from the media, of course.
00:10:01
You have to dig a little bit. He pushed negotiations to lower
00:10:04
prescription drug prices. He pressed for caps on insulin
00:10:07
and cheaper generic drug access. And yes, Democrats fought him
00:10:12
every step of the way because God forbid they let Trump claim
00:10:17
progress in a sector that they think of as their own.
00:10:21
That's why some reforms are still delayed.
00:10:24
Lawsuits, gridlock and opposition.
00:10:26
Do I think Trump's fixed it? No.
00:10:29
And here's where I'm unfair. He has to do more.
00:10:33
The prices aren't dropping fast enough.
00:10:35
But the narrative that he's gutting Healthcare is dishonest.
00:10:40
The left sells that line to scare voters.
00:10:43
Grandma's insulin will vanish. Cancer patients will die.
00:10:47
It's theater. The reality is Trump is nudging
00:10:51
the system towards affordability and that's something Biden never
00:10:54
managed. And this has to be said, nothing
00:10:57
is free. Hard of hearing this free
00:11:00
healthcare. Free this free that.
00:11:03
The Democrats promise free healthcare, but somebody's
00:11:06
paying for it. You people have got to
00:11:08
understand this. It's usually it ends up being
00:11:11
the middle class through higher taxes, slower growth, or worse
00:11:15
care. I preach that one all the time.
00:11:18
Be careful what you ask for with the care.
00:11:21
Quality care. That is not reform, That's just
00:11:24
redistribution. Real reform means cutting costs
00:11:28
in the system, tackling pharma and insurance lobbyists, and
00:11:33
making care simpler without taxing the life out of working
00:11:37
families. And don't you dare talk about
00:11:39
crushing the rich with taxes. First off, it's stealing.
00:11:43
Second, this isn't a socialist country, you don't tax the
00:11:47
wealthy to get to the poor. 3rd that money would be moved out of
00:11:51
America faster than Congress can vote on a pay raise.
00:11:54
And how exactly would that help anyone here?
00:11:58
Healthcare isn't fixed yet. 100% agree.
00:12:01
But if you're being honest it was worse under body so I'm
00:12:04
tired of hearing it is not gutting the system.
00:12:06
He's trying to bend it towards some sanity and that's worth
00:12:09
more than slogans and free everything.
00:12:13
So here's what's frustrates me most.
00:12:15
We've got the numbers right in front of us.
00:12:18
I just gave you a bunch of them. Falling crime, cooling,
00:12:21
inflation, investments coming back to the the United States.
00:12:25
And yet the media and more so the Internet pundits refused to
00:12:30
acknowledge a single win under Trump.
00:12:33
They just can't do it. They just can't.
00:12:35
Instead we get the same lazy, recycled labels, fascist,
00:12:40
racist, comparing them to Hitler.
00:12:43
It's unbelievable. First off, they're wrong.
00:12:46
They don't even know the meaning of these words.
00:12:49
Or they just hope that whoever they're saying them to is too
00:12:51
stupid to know. But that's the level of debate
00:12:54
now. From that side, there is none.
00:12:56
The danger here isn't just slander, it's that these words
00:13:00
fuel the weak minded into thinking violence is justified.
00:13:04
If you've convinced yourself that your neighbor is literally
00:13:07
living under Hitler, you start to believe that throwing a
00:13:09
brick, lighting a fire, or punching someone in the face
00:13:12
because they're wearing a Red Hat is resistance.
00:13:15
Charlie Kirk was killed today. ICE agents here in Dallas were
00:13:20
killed. That is not politics.
00:13:23
That's indoctrination that leads to political violence.
00:13:26
It's being spoon fed by the media and amplified by social
00:13:30
media echo chambers. Let's run through their
00:13:33
outrageous about Trump, shall we?
00:13:34
I'm trying to figure it out. Enforcing the law.
00:13:37
Trump sends the guard into DC to help the communities, detaining
00:13:41
suspects, finding kids, even carrying groceries.
00:13:45
And somehow that's militarization.
00:13:48
Helping people is bad now? Interesting.
00:13:51
The mass deportations. Some people say that's the
00:13:54
reason that they have such a huge problem with Donald Trump.
00:13:56
I don't care. He's enforcing immigration law.
00:14:02
The horror. What a monster, actually
00:14:06
expecting people to come here legally.
00:14:09
And he's doing what the vast majority of this country voted
00:14:12
on. We've already covered a little
00:14:14
bit on the tariffs, but this was another big one.
00:14:17
He's going to ruin everything with tariffs and he's treating
00:14:20
our allies badly. Shut up.
00:14:22
They scream about economic disaster from the tariffs and
00:14:25
what happened. Factory started reopening,
00:14:27
investment started flowing in. Media spin doesn't change math.
00:14:34
What about this whole Putin thing?
00:14:36
The fact that you met with him? It's called diplomacy.
00:14:40
Trying to end wars, which he has.
00:14:44
Funny how they love diplomacy when Biden was fumbling and
00:14:46
stumbling through Europe but Trump talking to Russia is
00:14:49
suddenly treason. Never mind all those conflicts I
00:14:52
just mentioned and wars. Quite frankly that he's already
00:14:56
cooled down or ended completely. The hate for Trump is
00:15:00
irrational. You don't have to like his
00:15:03
personality. That's fine.
00:15:05
If you think he's cocky, blunt, brash, fair enough.
00:15:10
I don't mind it as much. I don't mind that those
00:15:12
qualities in a leader, but some do.
00:15:15
And I get that, and you're entitled to that.
00:15:17
But none of that equals dictator or Hitler or fascist.
00:15:21
That's just theater to distract from the fact that under Trump,
00:15:25
life is actually trending better for Americans.
00:15:28
And that is the real tell. The scoreboard shows progress,
00:15:32
but the commentators keep yelling apocalypse.
00:15:34
You're not dealing with journalism, you're dealing with
00:15:37
propaganda, plain and simple. So are we better?
00:15:41
That was our question. The short answer is yes.
00:15:44
I think I proved it hard. Data backs it in my bias a
00:15:48
little, but I'm also using facts.
00:15:50
I spent plenty of time making sure that I didn't give you any
00:15:53
misinformation. Today, violent crime again has
00:15:56
fallen. First half of 2025.
00:15:57
Homicides down, robberies down, carjackings and vehicle theft
00:16:00
down. Those are good things.
00:16:04
The real decreases you can measure.
00:16:06
They're not just feelings. Inflation.
00:16:08
Headline CPI is down into the high twos.
00:16:10
Like I said, 2.9% year over year in August 2025.
00:16:15
That means that prices are stabilized and not running hot.
00:16:18
That's not a miracle, it's math and policy working through the
00:16:21
system. Healthcare still hurts a little,
00:16:23
I admit it. Medical costs are rising faster
00:16:26
than headline inflation and that's some real pain that
00:16:28
families feel. But health cost growth is its
00:16:31
own beast. And the administration's drug
00:16:34
pricing and reform, the the moves are in process.
00:16:38
They're not instant. Give it time and come to me in a
00:16:42
year from now or two years from now and tell me that nothing's
00:16:45
happened. Bookmark it.
00:16:46
Don't pretend the solution on that is free and just delivered
00:16:50
by slogans. OK, industry and jobs companies
00:16:54
are announcing big investments, factories are expanding and
00:16:58
reassuring FDI projects are on the books.
00:17:01
That is how you rebuild a supply chain, create jobs and cool long
00:17:06
run price volatility. This is the long game and it's
00:17:10
happening. So yes, on crime, inflation and
00:17:13
investment, the trend is better. That's verifiable, not opinion.
00:17:17
It's not opinion for the people who still refuse to see it.
00:17:21
Congratulations, you've turned politics into a religion.
00:17:25
Your side losing a narrative matters more to you than an
00:17:28
actual safer St. a paycheck that stretches a little further, or a
00:17:32
factory hiring in your county. You don't get to call yourself
00:17:35
moral while cheering for chaos because a politician makes you
00:17:39
feel righteous. That's cowardice dressed up as
00:17:42
virtue. I'll be blunt when acknowledging
00:17:45
a win for the other side would be admitting your team isn't
00:17:49
perfect, you switch to slander. Fascist, Hitler, dictator.
00:17:53
Those words don't explain any of your policy ideas, and they're
00:17:57
factually inaccurate to boot. They excuse violence.
00:18:01
They turn disagreement into justification for mayhem.
00:18:04
And that's not debate. It's a threat to people's lives.
00:18:08
Who do you think you are? If you're furious that policies
00:18:12
you dislike are working, that's a bad look.
00:18:16
It means your priority is your side, not the country as a
00:18:20
whole. You want to be right more than
00:18:22
you want the country to improve. That's why the progress gets
00:18:25
ignored and the outrage is amplified.
00:18:29
Shame on you, and shame on all of that.
00:18:32
Call out bad policy when it's bad.
00:18:34
Sure, like I said, there are a few things here that I agree
00:18:37
need to be done. But don't pretend that every
00:18:39
result you dislike is an apocalypse.
00:18:42
Final deal before I go. We're not at perfection.
00:18:46
Healthcare needs work. Some cities still struggle with
00:18:49
inner city crime. Policy takes time, but facts are
00:18:53
greater than fury. If you want change, fix local
00:18:57
leadership, demand accountability, and stop
00:19:01
celebrating chaos just because the other side is in office.
00:19:06
That's it. Share this guys, pass it around.
00:19:10
We're A-Team. Spread the word, like follow,
00:19:12
subscribe. I hate asking for it, but every
00:19:15
little bit helps. Anything that you do that's
00:19:18
interaction on these social media pages and the and the
00:19:21
podcast sites, you have no idea how much it helps and how much
00:19:24
we can beat the algorithms that still tend to suppress these
00:19:29
types of realities. So stay skeptical, stay focused
00:19:33
on the facts, stay loyal to country, stay in the fray.
00:19:38
Love you guys. All you had to do was just
00:19:43
listen up.